Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.034484 0.037534 0.040596 0.043893 0.047337 0.050824 0.054615
2026-01-18 0.029927 0.034485 0.039202 0.044423 0.050019 0.055817 0.062258
2026-01-25 0.024961 0.030447 0.036293 0.042933 0.050216 0.057915 0.066625
2026-02-01 0.021621 0.027812 0.034589 0.042462 0.051268 0.060734 0.071599
2026-02-08 0.019063 0.025793 0.033349 0.042306 0.052496 0.063605 0.076513
2026-02-15 0.017705 0.025009 0.033383 0.043476 0.055113 0.067939 0.082979
2026-02-22 0.016416 0.024182 0.033266 0.044382 0.057358 0.071799 0.088873
2026-03-01 0.015072 0.023172 0.032840 0.044848 0.059031 0.074961 0.093938
2026-03-08 0.013767 0.022107 0.032264 0.045066 0.060356 0.077679 0.098461
2026-03-15 0.012982 0.021643 0.032372 0.046058 0.062553 0.081372 0.104075
2026-03-22 0.011485 0.020139 0.031107 0.045317 0.062643 0.082582 0.106803
2026-03-29 0.010554 0.019329 0.030663 0.045537 0.063842 0.085054 0.110961
2026-04-05 0.009841 0.018796 0.030573 0.046214 0.065626 0.088262 0.116044
2026-04-12 0.009095 0.018166 0.030326 0.046671 0.067132 0.091141 0.120749
2026-04-19 0.007661 0.016427 0.028529 0.045097 0.066102 0.090972 0.121856
2026-04-26 0.006742 0.015379 0.027604 0.044594 0.066355 0.092307 0.124709
2026-05-03 0.006016 0.014568 0.026962 0.044425 0.066997 0.094087 0.128075
2026-05-10 0.005773 0.014513 0.027364 0.045623 0.069353 0.097940 0.133905
2026-05-17 0.005468 0.014332 0.027573 0.046553 0.071363 0.101370 0.139234
2026-05-24 0.005059 0.013939 0.027455 0.047030 0.072788 0.104082 0.143699
2026-05-31 0.004614 0.013444 0.027164 0.047254 0.073875 0.106371 0.147654
2026-06-07 0.004405 0.013355 0.027461 0.048272 0.075980 0.109909 0.153111
2026-06-14 0.003780 0.012439 0.026483 0.047511 0.075765 0.110573 0.155089